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ET call home

Post  eddie on Sat Apr 30, 2011 4:46 pm

The Eerie Silence by Paul Davies – review

Is there anybody out there or are we really alone in the universe?

Nicholas Lezard guardian.co.uk, Thursday 28 April 2011 08.00 BST

The title is a reference to Enrico Fermi's famous question: "Where is everybody?" In its context, what he meant was: "if there are alien civilisations, why haven't we seen any evidence of them yet?" This is a book about the search for extraterrestrial intelligence written by someone who knows whereof he speaks, for he is chair of Seti's post-detection science and technology taskgroup. In other words, if everything goes according to protocol (which it probably won't, but never mind), he gets to say "hello" first to any aliens who say "hello" to us. This might seem an awesome responsibility, but Professor Davies is used to dealing with concepts that are somewhat out of the ordinary. The last book by Davies that I reviewed, The Goldilocks Enigma, was full of mind-blowing stuff, intelligibly and plausibly presented. And here is more of the same, or similar.


The Eerie Silence: Searching for Ourselves in the Universe by Paul Davies

You could question the wisdom of trying to see if anyone else is out there. (There are people who want to stop others making deliberate attempts to contact aliens on the grounds that they may find this planet rather covetable and kick us off it. To which one can only say that they have not seen Harlesden on a wet Sunday afternoon.) You may also question the very discipline of exobiology, or imagining what alien biology is like. After all, it isn't as if anyone has anything to go on.

But that has not stopped Davies writing another superb science book, which both sticks to its remit and touches on larger issues in a manner that helps them slip down easily without making us feel that we have been condescended to. This is an intelligent, enthusiastic man who communicates his enthusiasm, and the scientific concepts that are his subject, in clear prose that you do not have to be a scientist to appreciate.

If you do not accept the sentiment behind the book's epigraph – Arthur C Clarke's remark that "sometimes I think we're alone in the universe, and sometimes I think we're not. In either case the idea is quite staggering" – then perhaps this is not for you. Which would be a pity, for Davies brings many elements into play. "Contemplating a seriously alien intelligence . . . means we must jettison as much mental baggage as possible," Davies says in his introductory chapter. He then goes on to restock our minds with such concepts as the possibility of there being different forms of life from the carbon-based kind we are so familiar with (the next best bet is not, pace Star Trek, silicon-, but arsenic-based), and which may yet be discovered on earth; the odds against life, let alone intelligent life, arising anywhere (astronomical, basically); the habitability windows of potential civilisations; the possibility of nanoprobes encoded in viruses or in our very own DNA; not to mention quantum computers, Dyson spheres (a shell surrounding a sun at planetary orbital distance), and the idea of post-biological intelligences.

On the question of computers versus the human brain, he will make you feel fairly good: a computer that can perform as many operations per second – or "flops" – as the brain is possible, but "the big difference is that the computer would consume several megawatts to do it, whereas the brain gets by on three meals a day". And who could not love the rubric describing Fig 11? "Whimsical depiction of energy extraction from a black hole."

And there are some scientists one cannot help but love: the ones who are both romantic and practical, who got fired up as children watching, say, 2001: A Space Odyssey and have devoted their lives to seeing whether there is anything in it. Davies is such a one. His conclusions are open-minded, capable of withstanding robust inquiry, albeit a little depressing. Apparently alien intelligence is overwhelmingly likely to be post-biological, a "matrioshka brain" which amuses itself by solving ever more abstruse mathematical theorems. "I confess this seems to me a rather narrow vision of thrill-seeking," Davies writes ruefully, "but it may be that an Extraterrestrial Quantum Computer would rapidly exhaust all other possible experiences." Even, it would seem, the pleasure of reading this very entertaining and mind-expanding book.

guardian.co.uk © Guardian News and Media Limited 2011

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Re: ET call home

Post  eddie on Sun May 01, 2011 3:06 am

^

"There are people who want to stop others making deliberate attempts to contact aliens on the grounds that they may find this planet rather covetable and kick us off it. To which one can only say that they have not seen Harlesden on a wet Sunday afternoon...."

I must be one of the very few carbon-based bipedal life forms who HAS seen Harlesden (an unprepossessing North London suburb on the Bakerloo line) on a wet Sunday afternoon and didn't entirely lose the will to live.

It was a close shave, though. affraid


Craven Park Road, Harlesden when it's not raining and the shops are open.

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Re: ET call home

Post  eddie on Mon Jun 20, 2011 8:27 pm

http://video.google.co.uk/videoplay?docid=1970780714204522797#
Alien Autopsy- UFO crash- Roswell New Mexico (Original footage)

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Re: ET call home

Post  eddie on Mon Jun 20, 2011 8:30 pm


Photograph of alleged UFO, New Jersey, July 31, 1952.

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Re: ET call home

Post  eddie on Mon Jun 20, 2011 8:38 pm


This shows the report Kenneth Arnold filed in 1947 about his UFO sighting.



Wiki:

The post World War II UFO phase in the United States began with a famous sighting by American businessman Kenneth Arnold on June 24, 1947 while flying his private plane near Mount Rainier, Washington. He reported seeing nine brilliantly bright objects flying across the face of Rainier.

Although there were other 1947 U.S. sightings of similar objects that preceded this, it was Arnold's sighting that first received significant media attention and captured the public's imagination. Arnold described what he saw as being "flat like a pie pan", "shaped like saucers and were so thin I could barely see them… ", "half-moon shaped, oval in front and convex in the rear. … they looked like a big flat disk" (see Arnold's drawing at right), and flew "like a saucer would if you skipped it across the water". (One of the objects, however, he would describe later as crescent-shaped, as shown in illustration at left.) Arnold’s descriptions were widely reported and within a few days gave rise to the terms flying saucer and flying disk. Arnold’s sighting was followed in the next few weeks by hundreds of other reported sightings, mostly in the U.S., but in other countries as well. After reports of the Arnold sighting hit the media, other cases began to be reported in increasing numbers. In one instance a United Airlines crew sighting of nine more disc-like objects over Idaho on the evening of July 4. At the time, this sighting was even more widely reported than Arnold’s and lent considerable credence to Arnold’s report.

American UFO researcher Ted Bloecher, in his comprehensive review of newspaper reports (including cases that preceded Arnold's), found a sudden surge upwards in sightings on July 4, peaking on July 6–8. Bloecher noted that for the next few days most American newspapers were filled with front-page stories of the new "flying saucers" or "flying discs". Speculation as to what the flying saucers were was rampant in the newspapers. Theories ranged from hallucinations, mass hysteria, optical illusions, hoaxes, reflections off airplanes, unusual atmospheric conditions, and weather balloons to byproducts of atomic testing or U.S./Russian secret weapons, to even more esoteric interdimensional or interplanetary visitors. Reports began to rapidly tail off after July 8, when officials began issuing press statements on the Roswell UFO incident, in which they explained debris found on the ground by a rancher as being that of a weather balloon.

Over several years in the 1960s, Bloecher (aided by physicist James E. McDonald) discovered 853 flying disc sightings that year from 140 newspapers from Canada, Washington D.C, and every U.S. state except Montana.

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Re: ET call home

Post  eddie on Mon Jun 20, 2011 8:48 pm


Roswell Daily Record, July 8, 1947, announcing the "capture" of a "flying saucer."


The Sacramento Bee article detailing the RAAF statements.

Wiki:

The Roswell UFO Incident was the recovery of an object that crashed in the general vicinity of Roswell, New Mexico, in June or July 1947, allegedly an extra-terrestrial spacecraft and its alien occupants. Since the late 1970s the incident has been the subject of intense controversy and of conspiracy theories as to the true nature of the object that crashed. The United States military maintains that what was actually recovered was debris from an experimental high-altitude surveillance balloon belonging to a classified program named "Mogul"; however, many UFO proponents maintain that in fact an alien craft and its occupants were captured, and that the military then engaged in a cover up. The incident has turned into a widely known pop culture phenomenon, making the name Roswell synonymous with UFOs. It ranks as the most publicized and controversial of alleged UFO incidents.

On July 8, 1947, the Roswell Army Air Field (RAAF) public information officer Walter Haut in Roswell, New Mexico, issued a press release stating that personnel from the field's 509th Bomb Group had recovered a crashed "flying disk" from a ranch near Roswell, sparking intense media interest. The following day, the press reported that Commanding General of the Eighth Air Force stated that, in fact, a radar-tracking balloon had been recovered by the RAAF personnel, not a "flying disc." A subsequent press conference was called, featuring debris said to be from the crashed object, which seemed to confirm the weather balloon description.

The incident was quickly forgotten and almost completely ignored, even by UFO researchers, for more than 30 years. Then, in 1978, physicist and ufologist Stanton T. Friedman interviewed Major Jesse Marcel who was involved with the original recovery of the debris in 1947. Marcel expressed his belief that the military had covered up the recovery of an alien spacecraft. His story spread through UFO circles, being featured in some UFO documentaries at the time. In February 1980, The National Enquirer ran its own interview with Marcel, garnering national and worldwide attention for the Roswell incident.

Additional witnesses added significant new details, including claims of a huge military operation dedicated to recovering alien craft and aliens themselves, at as many as 11 crash sites, and alleged witness intimidation. In 1989, former mortician Glenn Dennis put forth a detailed personal account, wherein he claimed that alien autopsies were carried out at the Roswell base.

In response to these reports, and after congressional inquiries, the General Accounting Office launched an inquiry and directed the Office of the Secretary of the Air Force to conduct an internal investigation. The result was summarized in two reports. The first, released in 1995, concluded that the reported recovered material in 1947 was likely debris from a secret government program called Project Mogul, which involved high altitude balloons meant to detect sound waves generated by Soviet atomic bomb tests and ballistic missiles. The second report, released in 1997, concluded that reports of recovered alien bodies were likely a combination of innocently transformed memories of military accidents involving injured or killed personnel, innocently transformed memories of the recovery of anthropomorphic dummies in military programs like Project High Dive conducted in the 1950s, and hoaxes perpetrated by various witnesses and UFO proponents. The psychological effects of time compression and confusion about when events occurred explained the discrepancy with the years in question. These reports were dismissed by UFO proponents as being either disinformation or simply implausible. However, numerous high-profile UFO researchers discount the probability that the incident had anything to do with aliens.

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Re: ET call home

Post  eddie on Mon Jun 20, 2011 8:52 pm


An NOAA weather balloon just after launch.

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Re: ET call home

Post  eddie on Thu Nov 17, 2011 6:49 pm

The Hidden Sea That May Prove Aliens Exist

By Thomas Moore, science correspondent
Sky News



Scientists say their hunt for extra-terrestrial life has been given a boost by new evidence of a massive hidden sea on Jupiter's moon Europa.

The sea - which is as big as the North American Great Lakes - is trapped below several kilometres of ice.

Researchers at the University of Texas made the discovery while studying images taken by the Galileo space craft. They found two rough areas on an otherwise smooth icy crust.

They believe the "crinkles" are caused by floating ice shelves that are collapsing into the water.

Similar features are found on Earth's Antarctic when seawater penetrates and weakens ice shelves.

Lead scientist Dr Britney Schmidt said the breach in the icy shell could drag nutrients and energy down into the water far below.

She said: "One opinion in the scientific community has been: 'If the ice shell is thick, that's bad for biology - the surface isn't communicating with the underlying ocean.'

"Now we see evidence that even though the ice shell is thick, it can mix vigorously. That would make Europa and its ocean more habitable."

American space agency Nasa is currently considering whether to send a spacecraft to Europa that is equipped with a ground-penetrating radar.

The mission could confirm whether there are sub-glacial lakes on the moon.

Robert Pappalardo of Nasa's Planetary Science Section said: "I read the paper and immediately thought, yes, that's it. That makes sense."

The research is published in the journal Nature.

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Re: ET call home

Post  eddie on Tue Dec 06, 2011 6:01 pm

Exoplanet Kepler 22-b offers best hope yet for a new Earth

Nasa discovers planet which is about 2.4 times the size of our own and lies in the 'Goldilocks zone' of its solar system

Ben Quinn

guardian.co.uk, Monday 5 December 2011 21.18 GMT


An artist's impression of the exoplanet Kepler 22-b which Nasa say is the most Earth-like yet discovered. Photograph: AFP/Getty Images

A new planet outside of Earth's solar system has been identified with many similarities to our own – making it the latest best potential target for life.

Kepler 22-b, which is about 2.4 times the size of Earth and lies in the so-called "Goldilocks zone", has a relatively comfortable surface temperature of about 22C (72F) and orbits a star not unlike Earth's sun.

But while astronomers believe that it "probably" also possesses water and land, earthlings secretly harbouring hopes that such a planet could potentially host new colonies from our own increasingly overpopulated home may be in for a disappointment.

About 600 light-years from Earth, Kepler 22-b is a considerable trek away while experts are not yet sure if it is made mostly of rock, gas or liquid

The discovery was made by Nasa's Kepler planet-hunting telescope. It is the first time Kepler confirmed a planet outside Earth's solar system in the not-too-hot, not-too-cold habitable zone.

Twice before, astronomers have announced planets found in that zone, but neither was as promising. One was disputed; the other is on the hot edge of the zone.

More than 1,000 new planet candidates have been discovered by the Kepler telescope, nearly doubling the previously known count. Ten of the candidates are close to Earth's size while Kepler-22b is the smallest yet found to orbit in the middle of the habitable zone of a star similar to our sun.

"This is a major milestone on the road to finding Earth's twin," said Douglas Hudgins, Kepler program scientist at Nasa headquarters in Washington.

"Kepler's results continue to demonstrate the importance of Nasa's science missions, which aim to answer some of the biggest questions about our place in the universe."

"Fortune smiled upon us with the detection of this planet," said William Borucki, Kepler principal investigator at Nasa's Ames Research Center at Moffett Field, California, who led the team that discovered Kepler 22-b. "The first transit was captured just three days after we declared the spacecraft operationally ready. We witnessed the defining third transit over the 2010 holiday season." Separately, a cosmic directory that lists the planets and moons most likely to harbour alien life was also launched by astronomers.

The online catalogue was created to make sense of the ever-rising number of distant worlds that researchers have spotted with modern telescopes.

More than 700 "exoplanets" have been spotted and verified outside our own solar system in recent decades, while thousands more await confirmation by missions such as Nasa's Kepler space telescope.

The Habitable Exoplanets Catalogue in essence ranks the habitability of planets and moons according to three criteria: their surface temperature, similarity to Earth, and capacity to sustain organisms at the bottom of the food chain.

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Re: ET call home

Post  Guest on Tue Dec 06, 2011 9:58 pm

...Goldilocks s zone????????

"...the not-too-hot, not-too-cold habitable zone." ????????

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Re: ET call home

Post  Andy on Wed Dec 07, 2011 7:23 am

That's what it's called yes.
Even scientists like fairytales. Basketball

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Re: ET call home

Post  Constance on Tue Dec 13, 2011 12:03 am

I just did a search on the web and found out that 60 percent of Americans believe in some form of extra-terrestial beings. Scary!

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Re: ET call home

Post  Andy on Tue Dec 13, 2011 1:01 am

I'm not sure what you find scary about that?
The fact that it's 60% that believe or 40% that don't believe? Or the absolutely misplaced use of the term 'to believe' in this context - a more accurate formulation would be that 60% of Americans find the existence of some form of extra-terrestrial life to be plausible or maybe highly plausible.

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Re: ET call home

Post  pinhedz on Tue Dec 13, 2011 3:54 am

What was the survey question? It makes a big difference.

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Re: ET call home

Post  pinhedz on Tue Dec 13, 2011 3:55 am

I think that most scientists believe there are other planets like ours.

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Re: ET call home

Post  Andy on Tue Dec 13, 2011 8:39 am

pinhedz wrote:I think that most scientists believe there are other planets like ours.

If by believe you mean 'hold it mathematically to be (very) likely' I believe so to.
If the term has to be understood in a more religeous-like context, the mathematical plausibility doesn't even enter the equation I think.

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Re: ET call home

Post  pinhedz on Tue Dec 13, 2011 8:45 am

Andy wrote:
pinhedz wrote:If the term has to be understood in a more religeous-like context, ...
Certainly not--there's no reason for that to be a religious belief.

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Re: ET call home

Post  Andy on Tue Dec 13, 2011 8:49 am

I think I already once wrote a post saying that I find the agnostic-attitude to be very befitting the ET-question.
If we consider the immense vasteness of the universe, yes it seems very plausible to assume there might be life on other planets.
But mathematical probability alone doesn't provide actual prove.

So in abscence of substantial evidence, I think it's most wise not to answer with 'yes' or 'no' but only with 'we don't know'.
And I don't believe there to be any serious prove of the potential existence of ET's.

It is even not unlikely - mathematically! - that the human race will vanish from the face of reality before it ever finds life on another planet.
And even if the last human died, knowing he or she is the last human and knowing no single piece of evidence for the exitence of ET's has ever been found it would still be impossible to answer the question. That's the other side of the 'vaste space'-coin: it makes the idea appear likely, but amost impossible to investigate thoroughly at the same time.

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Re: ET call home

Post  pinhedz on Tue Dec 13, 2011 9:25 am

Andy wrote:So in abscence of substantial evidence, I think it's most wise not to answer with 'yes' or 'no' but only with 'we don't know'.
The statement "we believe" actually implies "we don't know."

I'm not sure what your definition of "substantial evidence" is, but given the size of the universe, I think it extremely unlikely that a planet like ours would happen only once.

Based on the same kind of evidence, my older brother claims to be a direct descendent of Charlemagne, although he lacks direct evidence. The evidence he has is the fact that anyone of western European descent must be a direct descendent of everyone who bore offspring during Charlemagne's time. That is because it is statistically impossible for us to not be direct descendents of Charlemagne, if you study how family trees expand as we go back 15 or 20 generations--the total number of your ancestors becomes many times larger than the population of the world, so your family tree easily swallows up the population of Europe, and our parents married distant cousins for generations without realizing it.

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Re: ET call home

Post  pinhedz on Tue Dec 13, 2011 9:50 am

I remember reading that 43% of Icelanders believe in fairies, although only 3% of Icelanders profess to be pagans. The pollster suggested that the 40% who were not pagans simply believed that they did not have a basis for ruling out the possibility that fairies might exist.

This is where the wording of the question makes all the difference. You could, for example, ask it these two ways:

-- Are you confident that fairies exist?

or,

-- Do you believe the possibility that fairies exist can be confidently ruled out?

Someone who says "Yes" to the first question believes in fairies. But if someone says "No" to the second question, does that person also believe in fairies?

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Re: ET call home

Post  Andy on Tue Dec 13, 2011 6:16 pm

pinhedz wrote:
I'm not sure what your definition of "substantial evidence" is, but given the size of the universe, I think it extremely unlikely that a planet like ours would happen only once.

Substantial would be a piece of evidence that reaches beyond the scope of statistic probability.
The argument of statistic probability is often used in this context as if it is sufficient ground to come to a conclusion. It's surely sufficient ground to motivate the inquiry and, at least to some extend, the ongoing searchings in this field. But I don't see how any form of likelihood could in itself constitute sufficient ground to reach conclusions.

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Re: ET call home

Post  Guest on Tue Dec 13, 2011 9:18 pm

When I was in high school I attended a talk about this subject. It kind of dissapointed me... I wanted to hear a shocking conclusion (with lots of blood and gore) and all we got was a "we don't know" Neutral

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Re: ET call home

Post  pinhedz on Tue Dec 13, 2011 10:05 pm

Andy wrote:
pinhedz wrote:
I'm not sure what your definition of "substantial evidence" is, but given the size of the universe, I think it extremely unlikely that a planet like ours would happen only once.
But I don't see how any form of likelihood could in itself constitute sufficient ground to reach conclusions.
You and I must have different definitions of "conclusion."

The statistical basis for my direct descent from Charlemagne is far more conclusive than any documentary evidence could ever be.

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Re: ET call home

Post  Andy on Wed Dec 14, 2011 2:09 am

I don't see how a probability and nothing but a probability could ever induce a certainty - a part, of course, from the degree of certainty of the probability itself.

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Re: ET call home

Post  pinhedz on Wed Dec 14, 2011 5:19 am

I take it that when someone believes something, you equate that to their knowing it with certainty.

I know very few things with certainty, but statistical assessments can bring one about as close to certainty as anything else.

Statistics might even be more convincing than what I perceive with my own senses in some cases.

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